Abstract Background Birt-Hogg-Dubé (BHD) syndrome is a rare autosomal dominant disorder characterized by fibrofolliculomas, renal tumors, pulmonary cysts, and recurrent pneumothorax. Pulmonary cysts are the cause of recurrent pneumothorax, which is one of the most important factors influencing patient quality of life. It is unknown whether pulmonary cysts progress with time or influence pulmonary function in patients with BHD syndrome. This study investigated whether pulmonary cysts progress during long-term follow-up (FU) by using thoracic computed tomography (CT) and whether pulmonary function declines during FU. We also evaluated risk factors for pneumothorax in patients with BHD during FU. Methods Our retrospective cohort included 43 patients with BHD (25 women; mean age, 54.2 ± 11.7 years). We evaluated whether cysts progress by visual assessment and quantitative volume analysis using initial and serial thoracic CT. The visual assessment included the size, location, number, shape, distribution, presence of a visible wall, fissural or subpleural cysts, and air-cuff signs. In CT data obtained from a 1-mm section from 17 patients, the quantitative assessment was performed by measuring the volume of the low attenuation area using in-house software. We evaluated whether the pulmonary function declined with time on serial pulmonary function tests (PFT). Risk factors for pneumothorax were analyzed using multiple regression analysis. Results On visual assessment, the largest cyst in the right lung showed a significant interval increase in size (1.0 mm/year, p = 0.0015; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–1.64) between the initial and final CT, and the largest cyst in the left lung also showed significant interval increase in size (0.8 mm/year, p
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