دورية أكاديمية
Rejection sampling and agent-based models for data limited fisheries
| العنوان: | Rejection sampling and agent-based models for data limited fisheries |
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| المؤلفون: | Ernesto Carrella, Joseph Powers, Steven Saul, Richard M. Bailey, Nicolas Payette, Katyana A. Vert-pre, Aarthi Ananthanarayanan, Michael Drexler, Chris Dorsett, Jens Koed Madsen |
| المصدر: | Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 11 (2024) |
| بيانات النشر: | Frontiers Media S.A., 2024. |
| سنة النشر: | 2024 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Science LCC:General. Including nature conservation, geographical distribution |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | rejection-sampling, agent-based, data limited, management strategies, fishery management, Science, General. Including nature conservation, geographical distribution, QH1-199.5 |
| الوصف: | Many of the world’s fisheries are “data-limited” where the information does not allow precise determination of fish stock status and limits the development of appropriate management responses. Two approaches are proposed for use in data-limited stock management strategy evaluations to guide the evaluations and to understand the sources of uncertainty: rejection sampling methods and the incorporation of more complex socio-economic dynamics into management evaluations using agent-based models. In rejection sampling (or rejection filtering) a model is simulated many times with a wide range of priors on parameters and outcomes are compared multiple filtering criteria. Those simulations that pass all the filters form an ensemble of feasible models. The ensemble can be used to look for robust management strategies, robust to both model uncertainties. Agent-based models of fishery economics can be implemented within the rejection framework, integrating the biological and economic understanding of the fishery. A simple artificial example of a difference equation bio-economic model is given to demonstrate the approach. Then rejection sampling is applied to an agent-based model for the hairtail (Trichiurus japonicas) fishery, where an operating model is constructed with rejection/agent-based methods and compared to known data and analyses of the fishery. The usefulness of information and rejection filters are illuminated and efficacy examined. The methods can be helpful for strategic guidance where multiple states of nature are possible as a part of management strategy evaluation. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 2296-7745 |
| Relation: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1243954/full; https://doaj.org/toc/2296-7745 |
| DOI: | 10.3389/fmars.2024.1243954 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/3560cd1f629a4fbbbe2a3c527bc2313b |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.3560cd1f629a4fbbbe2a3c527bc2313b |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 22967745 |
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| DOI: | 10.3389/fmars.2024.1243954 |