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Economic Shock in a Climate Scenario and Its Impact on Surface Temperatures

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Economic Shock in a Climate Scenario and Its Impact on Surface Temperatures
المؤلفون: Qi Ran, Shao‐Yi Lee, John C. Moore, Chao Min, Wenjie Dong
المصدر: Earth's Future, Vol 9, Iss 6, Pp n/a-n/a (2021)
بيانات النشر: Wiley, 2021.
سنة النشر: 2021
المجموعة: LCC:Environmental sciences
LCC:Ecology
مصطلحات موضوعية: Environmental sciences, GE1-350, Ecology, QH540-549.5
الوصف: Abstract A socio‐economic crisis was added to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. This idealized climate scenario was simulated using the Community Earth System Model version 1.2.2 to determine the transient climate response to a two‐year reduction of anthropogenic emissions. Global and regional (Asian, North American and European) mean surface temperatures (MSTs) were significantly warmer than baseline for 5 years. This was followed by cooler‐than‐baseline MSTs lasting for about two decades until the end of the simulation. Emission reduction of only carbon dioxide (CO2) resulted in multi‐decadal cooler‐than‐baseline MSTs. Emission reduction of aerosols and aerosol precursors resulted in strong short‐term warmer‐than‐baseline MSTs for the first five years after the start of the crisis. This was followed by weaker multi‐decadal warmer‐than‐baseline MSTs. The greatest warming occurred over Europe. This could be explained by the inter‐scenario differences in the state of the North Atlantic Oscillation. However, global, Asian and North American MSTs were all warmer than baseline.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2328-4277
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2328-4277
DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002061
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/51d56fa890b94beb995608a6b42c5f44
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.51d56fa890b94beb995608a6b42c5f44
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:23284277
DOI:10.1029/2021EF002061