دورية أكاديمية

Validating hidden Markov models for seabird behavioural inference

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Validating hidden Markov models for seabird behavioural inference
المؤلفون: Rebecca A. Akeresola, Adam Butler, Esther L. Jones, Ruth King, Víctor Elvira, Julie Black, Gail Robertson
المصدر: Ecology and Evolution, Vol 14, Iss 3, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
بيانات النشر: Wiley, 2024.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: LCC:Ecology
مصطلحات موضوعية: conservation, GPS data, movement data, movement modelling, visual tracking, Ecology, QH540-549.5
الوصف: Abstract Understanding animal movement and behaviour can aid spatial planning and inform conservation management. However, it is difficult to directly observe behaviours in remote and hostile terrain such as the marine environment. Different underlying states can be identified from telemetry data using hidden Markov models (HMMs). The inferred states are subsequently associated with different behaviours, using ecological knowledge of the species. However, the inferred behaviours are not typically validated due to difficulty obtaining ‘ground truth’ behavioural information. We investigate the accuracy of inferred behaviours by considering a unique data set provided by Joint Nature Conservation Committee. The data consist of simultaneous proxy movement tracks of the boat (defined as visual tracks as birds are followed by eye) and seabird behaviour obtained by observers on the boat. We demonstrate that visual tracking data is suitable for our study. Accuracy of HMMs ranging from 71% to 87% during chick‐rearing and 54% to 70% during incubation was generally insensitive to model choice, even when AIC values varied substantially across different models. Finally, we show that for foraging, a state of primary interest for conservation purposes, identified missed foraging bouts lasted for only a few seconds. We conclude that HMMs fitted to tracking data have the potential to accurately identify important conservation‐relevant behaviours, demonstrated by a comparison in which visual tracking data provide a ‘gold standard’ of manually classified behaviours to validate against. Confidence in using HMMs for behavioural inference should increase as a result of these findings, but future work is needed to assess the generalisability of the results, and we recommend that, wherever feasible, validation data be collected alongside GPS tracking data to validate model performance. This work has important implications for animal conservation, where the size and location of protected areas are often informed by behaviours identified using HMMs fitted to movement data.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2045-7758
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2045-7758
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.11116
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/5450c4ac5a754da7a046f5ed54be6067
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.5450c4ac5a754da7a046f5ed54be6067
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20457758
DOI:10.1002/ece3.11116