دورية أكاديمية
High-resolution 3D earthquake forecasting beneath the greater Tokyo area
| العنوان: | High-resolution 3D earthquake forecasting beneath the greater Tokyo area |
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| المؤلفون: | Yosihiko Ogata, Koich Katsura, Hiroshi Tsuruoka, Naoshi Hirata |
| المصدر: | Earth, Planets and Space, Vol 71, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2019) |
| بيانات النشر: | SpringerOpen, 2019. |
| سنة النشر: | 2019 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Geography. Anthropology. Recreation LCC:Geodesy LCC:Geology |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | 3D Delaunay tessellation, Hierarchical space–time ETAS model, Induced seismicity, Penalized log likelihood function, Akaike‘s Bayesian Criterion, M9 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Geodesy, QB275-343, Geology, QE1-996.5 |
| الوصف: | Abstract We propose an extended 3D space (longitude, latitude, and depth) epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for seismicity forecasts beneath the greater Tokyo area (the Kanto region), which also takes into account the effects induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake of 2011. The model is characterized by a number of 3D location-dependent parameters, such as the background seismicity rates, and the productivity rate induced by the Tohoku earthquake. These allow production of high-resolution predictive mappings in zones where hypocenters are densely populated. The optimally inverted 3D spatial images of the characterizing parameters effectively discriminate seismicity features in the crust and near the plate boundaries. The success of the model is demonstrated using short-, intermediate- and long-term probability forecasts of intermediate and large earthquake occurrences beneath the Kanto region. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1880-5981 |
| Relation: | http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40623-019-1086-7; https://doaj.org/toc/1880-5981 |
| DOI: | 10.1186/s40623-019-1086-7 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/649559c3c5de47c6a99e66c934c360a7 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.649559c3c5de47c6a99e66c934c360a7 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Find this article in full text from Springer Verlag. 
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 18805981 |
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| DOI: | 10.1186/s40623-019-1086-7 |