دورية أكاديمية

A Feature-Informed Data-Driven Approach for Predicting Maximum Flood Inundation Extends

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A Feature-Informed Data-Driven Approach for Predicting Maximum Flood Inundation Extends
المؤلفون: Felix Schmid, Jorge Leandro
المصدر: Geosciences, Vol 13, Iss 12, p 384 (2023)
بيانات النشر: MDPI AG, 2023.
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: LCC:Geology
مصطلحات موضوعية: flood forecasting, inundation forecasting, artificial neural network, convolutional neural network, real-time forecasting, Geology, QE1-996.5
الوصف: As climate change increases the occurrences of extreme weather events, like flooding threaten humans more often. Hydrodynamic models provide spatially distributed water depths as inundation maps, which are essential for flood protection. Such models are not computationally efficient enough to deliver results before or during an event. To ensure real-time prediction, we developed a feature-informed data-driven forecast system (FFS), which interpreted the forecasting process as an image-to-image translation, to predict the maximum water depth for a fluvial flood event. The FFS combines a convolutional neural network (CNN) and feature-informed dense layers to allow the integration of the distance to the river of each cell to be predicted into the FFS. The aim is to ensure training for the whole study area on a standard computer. A hybrid database with pre-simulated scenarios is used to train, validate, and test the FFS. The FFS delivers predictions within seconds making a real-time application possible. The quality of prediction compared with the results of the pre-simulated physically-based model shows an average root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.052 for thirty-five test events, and of 0.074 and 0.141 for two observed events. Thus, the FFS provides an efficient alternative to hydrodynamic models for flood forecasting.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2076-3263
Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/13/12/384; https://doaj.org/toc/2076-3263
DOI: 10.3390/geosciences13120384
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/a65ecbddd4cb483fa9d0c32e50b65d91
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.65ecbddd4cb483fa9d0c32e50b65d91
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20763263
DOI:10.3390/geosciences13120384