دورية أكاديمية

Correlation between mumps and meteorological factors in Xiamen City, China: A modelling study

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Correlation between mumps and meteorological factors in Xiamen City, China: A modelling study
المؤلفون: Jie-feng Huang, Ze-yu Zhao, Wen-kui Lu, Jia Rui, Bin Deng, Wei-kang Liu, Tian-long Yang, Zhuo-yang Li, Pei-hua Li, Chan Liu, Li Luo, Bin Zhao, Yi-fang Wang, Qun Li, Ming-zhai Wang, Tianmu Chen
المصدر: Infectious Disease Modelling, Vol 7, Iss 2, Pp 127-137 (2022)
بيانات النشر: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd., 2022.
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: LCC:Infectious and parasitic diseases
مصطلحات موضوعية: Mumps, Transmissibility, Meteorological factors, Correlation, Time-dependent reproduction number, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216
الوصف: Objective: Mumps is a seasonal infectious disease, always occurring in winter and spring. In this study, we aim to analyze its epidemiological characteristics, transmissibility, and its correlation with meteorological variables. Method: A seasonal Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious/Asymptomatic–Recovered model and a next-generation matrix method were applied to estimate the time-dependent reproduction number (Rt). Results: The seasonal double peak of annual incidence was mainly in May to July and November to December. There was high transmission at the median of Rt = 1.091 (ranged: 0 to 4.393). Rt was seasonally distributed mainly from February to April and from September to November. Correlations were found between temperature (Pearson correlation coefficient [r] ranged: from 0.101 to 0.115), average relative humidity (r = 0.070), average local pressure (r = -0.066), and the number of new cases. In addition, average local pressure (r = 0.188), average wind speed (r = 0.111), air temperature (r ranged: -0.128 to -0.150), average relative humidity (r = -0.203) and sunshine duration (r = -0.075) were all correlated with Rt. Conclusion: A relatively high level of transmissibility has been found in Xiamen City, leading to a continuous epidemic of mumps. Meteorological factors, especially air temperature and relative humidity, may be more closely associated with mumps than other factors.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2468-0427
Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042722000239; https://doaj.org/toc/2468-0427
DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.04.004
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/6908965ffd9c48968eaeb3952159f1be
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.6908965ffd9c48968eaeb3952159f1be
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:24680427
DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2022.04.004