Abstract Background About 25% of pregnant women experience bleeding in the early stage, and half of them eventually progress to pregnancy loss. Progesterone serves as a useful biomarker to predict miscarriage in threatened miscarriage, yet its performance is still debated. Aim To evaluate the performance of single serum progesterone predicting miscarriage in early pregnant patients with threatened miscarriage. Method The online database was searched to yield the literature using the terms of ‘Abortion’, ‘Miscarriage’, and ‘serum Progesterone’, including PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane library, and China national knowledge infrastructure. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, likelihood ratio (LLR) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed. Publication bias was assessed by the deeks funnel plot asymmetry test. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to the progesterone level (
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