دورية أكاديمية
The relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance in South Africa
| العنوان: | The relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance in South Africa |
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| المؤلفون: | Lebogang Chiloane, Marinda Pretorius, Ilse Botha |
| المصدر: | Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences, Vol 7, Iss 2, Pp 299-314 (2014) |
| بيانات النشر: | AOSIS, 2014. |
| سنة النشر: | 2014 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Economics as a science |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | J-curve, Marshall–Lerner, vector auto regression, trade balance, cointegration, impulse response function, Economics as a science, HB71-74 |
| الوصف: | The purpose of this paper is to test the existence of the J-curve effect and to show whether the Marshall–Lerner condition holds in the South African manufacturing sector. Using quarterly data from 1995 to 2010, the study uses the vector error correction modelling technique as well as impulse response functions to attain the research objectives. The results show that a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between the manufacturing trade balance and the three explanatory variables: real effective exchange rate, real domestic and foreign income levels. Overall, the results show that a depreciation in the domestic currency results in a deterioration in the manufacturing trade balance in the short run, and that this is followed by an improvement in the long run. The study finds evidence of the existence of the J-curve in the South African manufacturing sector. The long-run dynamics suggest that the Marshall–Lerner condition holds. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1995-7076 2312-2803 |
| Relation: | https://jefjournal.org.za/index.php/jef/article/view/142; https://doaj.org/toc/1995-7076; https://doaj.org/toc/2312-2803 |
| DOI: | 10.4102/jef.v7i2.142 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/93a9bd7bbedb406bb682734fd16bc6f2 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.93a9bd7bbedb406bb682734fd16bc6f2 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
| تدمد: | 19957076 23122803 |
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| DOI: | 10.4102/jef.v7i2.142 |