دورية أكاديمية

A simple clinical risk score (ABCDMP) for predicting mortality in patients with AECOPD and cardiovascular diseases

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A simple clinical risk score (ABCDMP) for predicting mortality in patients with AECOPD and cardiovascular diseases
المؤلفون: Jiarui Zhang, Qun Yi, Chen Zhou, Yuanming Luo, Hailong Wei, Huiqing Ge, Huiguo Liu, Jianchu Zhang, Xianhua Li, Xiufang Xie, Pinhua Pan, Mengqiu Yi, Lina Cheng, Hui Zhou, Liang Liu, Adila Aili, Yu Liu, Lige Peng, Jiaqi Pu, Haixia Zhou
المصدر: Respiratory Research, Vol 25, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2024)
بيانات النشر: BMC, 2024.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: LCC:Diseases of the respiratory system
مصطلحات موضوعية: AECOPD, CVDs, Mortality, Risk score, Diseases of the respiratory system, RC705-779
الوصف: Abstract Background The morbidity and mortality among hospital inpatients with AECOPD and CVDs remains unacceptably high. Currently, no risk score for predicting mortality has been specifically developed in patients with AECOPD and CVDs. We therefore aimed to derive and validate a simple clinical risk score to assess individuals’ risk of poor prognosis. Study design and methods We evaluated inpatients with AECOPD and CVDs in a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter cohort study. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify the independent prognostic risk factors and created a risk score model according to patients’ data from a derivation cohort. Discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration was assessed by the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The model was validated and compared with the BAP-65, CURB-65, DECAF and NIVO models in a validation cohort. Results We derived a combined risk score, the ABCDMP score, that included the following variables: age > 75 years, BUN > 7 mmol/L, consolidation, diastolic blood pressure ≤ 60 mmHg, mental status altered, and pulse > 109 beats/min. Discrimination (AUC 0.847, 95% CI, 0.805–0.890) and calibration (Hosmer‒Lemeshow statistic, P = 0.142) were good in the derivation cohort and similar in the validation cohort (AUC 0.811, 95% CI, 0.755–0.868). The ABCDMP score had significantly better predictivity for in-hospital mortality than the BAP-65, CURB-65, DECAF, and NIVO scores (all P
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 1465-993X
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1465-993X
DOI: 10.1186/s12931-024-02704-6
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/b72bcf24d0ce4640bc56e960e0343282
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.b72bcf24d0ce4640bc56e960e0343282
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:1465993X
DOI:10.1186/s12931-024-02704-6