Grade II and III gliomas are heterogeneous and aggressive diseases. More efficient prognosis models and treatment methods are needed. This study aims to construct a new risk model and propose a new strategy for grade II and III gliomas. The data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), and the EMTome website for analysis. The Human Cell Landscape website and the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer website were used for single-cell analysis and drug susceptibility analysis. Gene set enrichment analysis, gene function enrichment analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, Pearson’s correlation analysis, log-rank test, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and ROC analysis were performed. We constructed an immune-related prognostic model associated with the isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) mutation status. By analyzing the immune microenvironment of patients with different risk scores, we found that high-risk patients were more likely to have an inflammatory immune microenvironment and a higher programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression level. Epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT)-related gene sets were significantly enriched in the high-risk group, and the epithelial–mesenchymal transition phenotype was associated with a decrease in CD8+ T cells and an increase in M2 macrophages. Transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) signaling was the most important signaling in inducing epithelial–mesenchymal transition, and TGFB1/TGFBR1 was correlated with an increase in CD8+ T cytopenia and M2 macrophages. Survival analysis showed that simultaneous low expression of TGFBR1 and PD-L1 had better survival results. Through single-cell analysis, we found that TGFB1 is closely related to microglia and macrophages, especially M2 macrophages. Finally, we discussed the sensitivity of TGFB1 inhibitors in gliomas using cell line susceptibility data. These results demonstrated a potential immunotherapy strategy in combination with the TGFB1/TGFBR1 inhibitor and PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor for grade II and III gliomas.
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