دورية أكاديمية
Transmission dynamics and baseline epidemiological parameter estimates of Coronavirus disease 2019 pre-vaccination: Davao City, Philippines.
| العنوان: | Transmission dynamics and baseline epidemiological parameter estimates of Coronavirus disease 2019 pre-vaccination: Davao City, Philippines. |
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| المؤلفون: | Loreniel E Añonuevo, Zython Paul T Lachica, Deza A Amistas, Jayve Iay E Lato, Hanna Lyka C Bontilao, Jolly Mae G Catalan, Rachel Joy F Pasion, Annabelle P Yumang, Alexis Erich S Almocera, Jayrold P Arcede, May Anne E Mata, Aurelio A de Los Reyes V |
| المصدر: | PLoS ONE, Vol 18, Iss 4, p e0283068 (2023) |
| بيانات النشر: | Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2023. |
| سنة النشر: | 2023 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Medicine LCC:Science |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Medicine, Science |
| الوصف: | The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exposed many systemic vulnerabilities in many countries' health system, disaster preparedness, and adequate response capabilities. With the early lack of data and information about the virus and the many differing local-specific factors contributing to its transmission, managing its spread had been challenging. The current work presents a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered compartmental model incorporating intervention protocols during different community quarantine periods. The COVID-19 reported cases before the vaccine rollout in Davao City, Philippines, are utilized to obtain baseline values for key epidemiologic model parameters. The probable secondary infections (i.e., time-varying reproduction number) among other epidemiological indicators were computed. Results show that the cases in Davao City were driven by the transmission rates, positivity proportion, latency period, and the number of severely symptomatic patients. This paper provides qualitative insights into the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 along with the government's implemented intervention protocols. Furthermore, this modeling framework could be used for decision support, policy making, and system development for the current and future pandemics. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1932-6203 |
| Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 |
| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pone.0283068 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/ebbe0afb5e384e2c9217a0eaf9d55f68 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.bbe0afb5e384e2c9217a0eaf9d55f68 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 19326203 |
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| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pone.0283068 |