دورية أكاديمية

Transition matrices model as a way to better understand and predict intra-hospital pathways of covid-19 patients

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Transition matrices model as a way to better understand and predict intra-hospital pathways of covid-19 patients
المؤلفون: Arnaud Foucrier, Jules Perrio, Johann Grisel, Pascal Crépey, Etienne Gayat, Antoine Vieillard-Baron, Frédéric Batteux, Tobias Gauss, Pierre Squara, Seak-Hy Lo, Matthias Wargon, Romain Hellmann
المصدر: Scientific Reports, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2022)
بيانات النشر: Nature Portfolio, 2022.
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: LCC:Medicine
LCC:Science
مصطلحات موضوعية: Medicine, Science
الوصف: Abstract Since January 2020, the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has severely affected hospital systems worldwide. In Europe, the first 3 epidemic waves (periods) have been the most severe in terms of number of infected and hospitalized patients. There are several descriptions of the demographic and clinical profiles of patients with COVID-19, but few studies of their hospital pathways. We used transition matrices, constructed from Markov chains, to illustrate the transition probabilities between different hospital wards for 90,834 patients between March 2020 and July 2021 managed in Paris area. We identified 3 epidemic periods (waves) during which the number of hospitalized patients was significantly high. Between the 3 periods, the main differences observed were: direct admission to ICU, from 14 to 18%, mortality from ICU, from 28 to 24%, length of stay (alive patients), from 9 to 7 days from CH and from 18 to 10 days from ICU. The proportion of patients transferred from CH to ICU remained stable. Understanding hospital pathways of patients is crucial to better monitor and anticipate the impact of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on health system.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2045-2322
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-22227-8
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/cbe66298780a4b158a52bc2c18dcc149
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.be66298780a4b158a52bc2c18dcc149
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20452322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-22227-8