Abstract Background Early cognitive deficits commonly seen in older people have not been well defined and managed in primary care. The objectives are (1) to develop and validate a new risk score to estimate the risk of dementia in Chinese older population; and (2) to evaluate the use of risk score in conjunction with cognitive screening in detecting early cognitive deficits in community older people. Methods A development cohort of 306 cognitive healthy older adults aged 60 or above were followed for 6 years. A CARS was constructed using the estimated coefficients of risk factors associated with dementia at follow up. Validation was carried out in another five-year cohort of 383 older adults. The usefulness of CARS in detecting early cognitive deficits was evaluated. Results Risk factors include older age, male gender, low level of education, poorly controlled diabetes, prolonged sleep latency, fewer mind body or light exercise, loneliness, and being apolipoprotein e4 carriers. A cutoff of CARS at -1.3 had a sensitivity of 83.9% and a specificity of 75.4% to predict dementia. The area under curve was 82.5% in the development cohort. Early cognitive deficits were characterized by impaired retention (p
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